{"id":"W3120452012","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3521996","title":"Common Individual Auditors and Analyst Forecast Performance","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":7,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Memorial University of Newfoundland","funders":"","keywords":"Accounting; Audit; Business; Actuarial science; Psychology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002934395,0.0001204216,0.0002065324,0.0001210949,0.0004083586,0.0002527766,0.0007049491,0.00005797712,0.00004780829],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002968186,0.00008773227,0.00008188409,0.0006475587,0.00008973962,0.0002645185,0.0001433659,0.001124526,0.00005333412],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00009662932,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003822171,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00001203317,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001187499,"domain_scores_codex":[0.997595,0.0000658515,0.0004424709,0.0002645892,0.000678259,0.0009537907],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991081,0.0001471263,0.0002761177,0.0001899597,0.0001108692,0.0001677659],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006997797,0.00005519654,0.09875739,0.000005234235,0.0001167943,0.000003517014,0.0008434547,0.0001801916,0.0002327788,0.07564233,0.01797879,0.8061143],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001092359,0.002330878,0.03295635,0.0000370556,0.0001319262,0.001276793,0.004492074,0.03896244,0.0007164638,0.8009723,0.1163077,0.0007236357],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9779674,0.0004174966,0.01404854,0.006127336,0.00007143363,0.000105774,0.000008020121,0.00005948216,0.001194485],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9978431,0.0005306302,0.0006939187,0.0002895144,0.0004056904,0.000004900452,0.00000265179,0.00001123064,0.0002184062],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.8053907,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4885571,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07550618789732319,"score_gpt":0.3382293706917693,"score_spread":0.2627231827944462,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}