{"id":"W3121180936","doi":"10.1016/j.jimonfin.2003.08.005","title":"Are correlations of stock returns justified by subsequent changes in national outputs?","year":2003,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"Journal of International Money and Finance","topic":"Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"","keywords":"Stock (firearms); Economics; Econometrics; Stock market; Financial economics; Financial market; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.006079305,0.00049691,0.00125918,0.001185289,0.0004941782,0.00284001,0.00134112,0.002400904,0.006680993],"category_scores_gemma":[0.06522135,0.0009623203,0.001159816,0.00166419,0.002065755,0.005406998,0.001337099,0.001847839,0.001344702],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006652102,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006684797,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003207119,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002935933,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9982009,0.0003838574,0.0002355152,0.0005118258,0.000321015,0.000346857],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9387491,0.02988694,0.02011019,0.007050908,0.002757644,0.00144508],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001047687,0.0002770692,0.8373404,0.0002241726,0.001002818,0.001928468,0.0006774139,0.03021801,0.004228644,0.07958549,0.004656031,0.03881386],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001516891,0.0002789003,0.8327193,0.00009458973,0.0003522216,0.0006582279,0.0005917189,0.08268186,0.00287204,0.07745634,0.002011077,0.0001320863],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9790483,0.0004908082,0.01249272,0.001456589,0.0001481767,0.00003525834,0.0008407086,0.0001404175,0.005346981],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9973536,0.000296857,0.0008562362,0.0001477016,0.000100569,0.00001905992,0.0003332174,0.00004075333,0.0008521285],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.006680993,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.0321508,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04951105061853658,"score_gpt":0.2504513463708345,"score_spread":0.200940295752298,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}