{"id":"W3121203693","doi":"10.1007/s001810100116","title":"Fads or bubbles?","year":2002,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Empirical Economics","topic":"Housing Market and Economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":31,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Carleton University","funders":"","keywords":"Econometrics; Economics; Dividend; Regression; Mathematics; Statistics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004103605,0.0002721551,0.0006326636,0.0002178216,0.000164134,0.0001969119,0.0004257751,0.0002312656,0.01245368],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001548005,0.0003032073,0.0002184877,0.0001796231,0.0001079868,0.0004123101,0.0001224153,0.000233869,0.01382104],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002926459,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002032492,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00004142594,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00006400333,"domain_scores_codex":[0.997765,0.00001399888,0.0009661838,0.0006584788,0.0000155532,0.000580794],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986967,0.0001259069,0.000327029,0.0005842163,0.00001462999,0.0002514884],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002683859,0.001214699,0.2741677,0.000115809,0.0004016189,0.00006254069,0.002912446,0.002466582,0.000004649663,0.3104786,0.3243196,0.08358735],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0008197654,0.0001022421,0.002560296,0.000005508366,0.000006280563,0.00002441861,0.0000452592,0.04832752,0.00001426836,0.0305097,0.916971,0.0006137409],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.379341,0.0003535083,0.00079564,0.003889794,0.001158019,0.0001810418,0.00007980778,0.0001633558,0.6140379],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.975727,0.002471575,0.002248116,0.003846624,0.0006466907,0.00002919914,0.00001660189,0.0001004992,0.01491374],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.5991241,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.999942,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1249886136738769,"score_gpt":0.2551614189228695,"score_spread":0.1301728052489926,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}