{"id":"W3121261019","doi":"","title":"Venture Capital Investment Strategy and Portfolio Failure Rate: A Longitudinal Study","year":2006,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Private Equity and Venture Capital","field":"Business, Management and Accounting","cited_by":10,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Brock University","funders":"","keywords":"Syndicate; Portfolio; Venture capital; Investment (military); Business; Capital (architecture); Application portfolio management; Finance; Investment decisions; Investment strategy; Longitudinal data; Project portfolio management; Economics; Financial economics; Management; Behavioral economics; Computer science; Project management","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001154504,0.0002967272,0.0002656166,0.0002394833,0.0003996765,0.0006050446,0.0002860783,0.00009758709,0.0001057113],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00002581987,0.0002531688,0.0001085186,0.0002872971,0.000065147,0.001212957,0.0001558054,0.001351465,0.00006432928],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002627378,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003276543,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0005690418,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005089239,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9972457,0.00002935815,0.0003631152,0.0003388249,0.0003305516,0.001692421],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.999397,0.00001305143,0.0002772358,0.0001747044,0.0001075719,0.00003043416],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001028935,0.0007209521,0.1099896,0.00003172607,0.0002600632,0.0001874191,0.00006481324,0.00006019328,0.0002806201,0.8828359,0.004187573,0.001278248],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00334354,0.0005221208,0.2003402,0.00003637094,0.0003360079,0.0006072258,0.008362956,0.00009387397,0.00001427503,0.7682596,0.01736839,0.0007154775],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9922852,0.002831822,0.0002201514,0.0007437051,0.0002561992,0.0003086331,0.000001437436,0.00006589977,0.00328698],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9962646,0.0001305883,0.000009786161,0.0003085183,0.002425032,0.00000989691,0.00002309825,0.00003215054,0.000796378],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1145763,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999921,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0121222442982036,"score_gpt":0.2270316975011223,"score_spread":0.2149094532029187,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}