{"id":"W3121381330","doi":"10.3390/risks4040037","title":"A Note on Realistic Dividends in Actuarial Surplus Models","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Risks","topic":"Probability and Risk Models","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":15,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Université de Montréal","funders":"Australian Research Council; University of New South Wales","keywords":"Dividend; Economics; Value (mathematics); Dividend policy; Cash; Present value; Actuarial science; Financial economics; Mathematical economics; Mathematics; Finance; Statistics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003278927,0.000150077,0.000311348,0.0002576952,0.00009302914,0.0001001735,0.0007406292,0.0001615095,0.0002158066],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003974308,0.00007702401,0.0001195818,0.0003938498,0.0001314886,0.0004323258,0.0001532988,0.0001639072,0.0007561209],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00012919,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001196714,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00109215,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001565413,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9970344,0.0003370065,0.0005752139,0.0006077522,0.001086879,0.0003586933],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9956532,0.003076946,0.0001327642,0.0008987089,0.0001071283,0.0001312356],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001582743,0.0004294273,0.006007195,0.00000649278,0.00001700555,0.00007901056,0.003193417,0.03717317,0.0006203545,0.1181056,0.01088266,0.8219029],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0009227439,0.00009735492,0.01398264,0.0000492203,0.000005257222,0.000002467227,0.00001738123,0.02621637,0.000226408,0.9559124,0.002393079,0.000174647],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.745765,0.00007375863,0.2223624,0.006528658,0.001300215,0.0003984467,0.0001264561,0.0001063823,0.02333867],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9978629,0.00004449999,0.0003432146,0.0001863906,0.0001597224,0.00001546251,0.000001027382,0.000009832631,0.001376945],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.8378068,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9718658,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.3810247044451999,"score_gpt":0.4567442286534155,"score_spread":0.07571952420821554,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}