{"id":"W3121455523","doi":"10.20944/preprints202007.0456.v1","title":"Winter is Coming: A Southern Hemisphere Perspective of the Environmental Drivers of SARS-CoV-2 and the Potential Seasonality of COVID-19","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"Preprints.org","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":26,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"National Research Foundation; Department of Science and Innovation, South Africa","keywords":"Pandemic; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Quarter (Canadian coin); Geography; Transmission (telecommunications); Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); Southern Hemisphere; Demography; Preprint; Seasonality; Environmental health; Climatology; Disease; Medicine; Ecology; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Biology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002254013,0.0004173215,0.0008481547,0.002317818,0.0002869118,0.001898355,0.0004615304,0.0005483413,0.003408155],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00513174,0.0001791385,0.001184063,0.003359751,0.0005267198,0.001740705,0.0004954269,0.0006128484,0.0005532074],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000576759,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.003357097,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.005024491,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.008780607,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9991641,0.0003188065,0.0001606263,0.0001048125,0.0001927503,0.00005891341],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9959902,0.002229589,0.000840715,0.00008196838,0.0007246507,0.0001328291],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004925154,0.00004910778,0.01887661,0.1638783,0.002535796,0.0008703816,0.003188048,0.0007112721,0.002267205,0.008998678,0.07371713,0.7244149],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002753976,0.0001693735,0.03791033,0.04995648,0.002624123,0.0009255381,0.002006549,0.0001329815,0.0005251326,0.003054285,0.9026101,0.00005765261],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"review","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.002647358,0.9907054,0.0001879691,0.002945525,0.0007108782,0.0000108321,0.0005850975,0.00001379369,0.002193134],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.0261749,0.9693193,0.0003799991,0.001958778,0.0008873266,0.00002173863,0.0005001705,0.00001321354,0.0007444602],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.005024491,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01192051,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.3303775134117717,"score_gpt":0.4307273963245755,"score_spread":0.1003498829128037,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}