{"id":"W3121575110","doi":"10.1257/jep.24.1.161","title":"What the Stock Market Decline Means for the Financial Security and Retirement Choices of the Near-Retirement Population","year":2010,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Journal of Economic Perspectives","topic":"Retirement, Disability, and Employment","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":100,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Health and Retirement Study; Social security; Economics; Pension; Retirement age; Quarter (Canadian coin); Stock (firearms); Stock market; Labour economics; Population; Baby boomers; Recession; Great recession; Demographic economics; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001129007,0.0001963586,0.0003733209,0.0005481393,0.0007323529,0.00190047,0.0003252535,0.001093976,0.005113285],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00533895,0.0001337798,0.0005432677,0.0005111434,0.0008540005,0.00374941,0.0004622241,0.0011333,0.0004016257],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0009077127,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006055555,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.007699071,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01420488,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997807,0.00008388357,0.000008625369,0.00002492453,0.00003048623,0.00007141315],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9978708,0.0007515704,0.0007371929,0.00009059075,0.0002070053,0.0003428835],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004671443,0.0004591444,0.8245133,0.000157097,0.0002175089,0.0006902846,0.002563728,0.005673871,0.0008617049,0.06300054,0.01233998,0.08905576],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004992784,0.0004168703,0.8762795,0.0001758023,0.0001710785,0.0004017399,0.006264419,0.008976853,0.0004208115,0.09183927,0.01491497,0.00008871973],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9068824,0.006286153,0.001621461,0.06235532,0.0002252783,0.00001739048,0.0007856945,0.00001571271,0.02181057],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.99343,0.003048231,0.0002344485,0.001206763,0.0003322095,0.000007141223,0.0001552773,0.000004116933,0.00158176],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.007699071,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01710558,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.08329629307218928,"score_gpt":0.3872069201123717,"score_spread":0.3039106270401824,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}