{"id":"W3121667691","doi":"","title":"How do international stock markets respond to oil demand and supply shocks","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Oil supply; Stock (firearms); Economics; Stock market; Stock market crash; Monetary economics; Oil price; Demand shock; Aggregate demand; Financial economics; Monetary policy","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000610874,0.0002469998,0.0003783283,0.000937621,0.0001926945,0.002559192,0.0002825449,0.0008984058,0.003689661],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004375389,0.0002567982,0.0005199668,0.001016412,0.0004319184,0.00285957,0.000829656,0.0008441355,0.0008500727],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004797024,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002292985,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.007108763,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005912683,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997657,0.00002445131,0.00002043467,0.00005874101,0.00004431121,0.0000864251],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9987321,0.0002450502,0.0006678414,0.0000853251,0.0001506843,0.0001189503],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0005240451,0.0001964739,0.9097379,0.0001379962,0.0005831849,0.0004597892,0.001013382,0.01872442,0.008411869,0.01401197,0.004655976,0.041543],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00005169313,0.000103041,0.9614414,0.00003991443,0.0001183976,0.0001270133,0.002430385,0.01516981,0.00246746,0.01348767,0.00450571,0.00005753393],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9861893,0.0003976173,0.000846353,0.001549054,0.00004418366,0.00001462626,0.0005361423,0.00002717003,0.01039553],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9982127,0.0003738707,0.00006866833,0.0001653816,0.0000328873,0.000003760678,0.0003257266,0.00000779687,0.0008092874],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.007108763,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01413482,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03918826712741902,"score_gpt":0.2815970875332329,"score_spread":0.2424088204058139,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}