{"id":"W3121752351","doi":"","title":"Exact prediction of inflation and unemployment in Canada","year":2007,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"MPRA Paper","topic":"Economic Theory and Policy","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Phillips curve; Unemployment; Economics; Disinflation; GDP deflator; Misery index; Inflation (cosmology); Keynesian economics; Deflation; Monetary policy; Econometrics; Full employment; Macroeconomics; Real gross domestic product","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003623993,0.00004454176,0.0001139476,0.00007552168,0.00001384253,0.000004009604,0.0000305531,0.00002975574,0.0002377782],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00002057325,0.00005398103,0.00001125602,0.00005383903,0.00001236675,0.0001083452,0.00001093215,0.00004428851,0.00001156226],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001542434,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00003262278,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.4974636,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.6454603,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994602,0.000004563992,0.0003267366,0.0001011903,0.000006285287,0.0001009785],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9997351,0.00004294016,0.0001031564,0.00008621161,0.000003657905,0.00002889389],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001539186,0.00001049516,0.8139446,0.00001119849,0.000007966412,8.108103e-7,0.0003150677,0.0001617392,0.00009605986,0.1829669,0.0001316868,0.002338089],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003351356,0.00001802005,0.9551507,0.000006091189,9.680688e-7,0.000001033441,0.00007205372,0.0002120938,0.0002394055,0.01514209,0.02876214,0.00006030264],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9714875,0.000252339,0.00003966206,0.0001267047,0.0001305786,0.00005742064,0.00005018783,0.0000033594,0.02785225],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9994618,0.00005175684,0.00002905459,0.0002002904,0.00003978279,0.000001933462,0.000005039415,0.000004728995,0.0002055753],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1678248,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.5058828,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01607190726141427,"score_gpt":0.1976141944447349,"score_spread":0.1815422871833206,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}