{"id":"W3121911385","doi":"10.2308/accr-51381","title":"Credit Derivatives and Analyst Behavior","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Accounting Review","topic":"Credit Risk and Financial Regulations","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":84,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McMaster University","funders":"","keywords":"Credit default swap; Earnings; Business; Equity (law); Price discovery; Private information retrieval; Monetary economics; Credit rating; Financial system; Accounting; Financial economics; Economics; Finance; Credit risk","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006310593,0.00008757363,0.0002695767,0.00004548705,0.0001547786,0.00003722235,0.0001705005,0.0000278873,0.0002749292],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004382613,0.00005238749,0.00007242136,0.0002006429,0.00008947737,0.0001907087,0.00006566186,0.00004948229,0.0002758368],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00001933751,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000007494527,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00005215646,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00001145309,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992639,0.000009412168,0.0003642672,0.0001889157,0.00002725034,0.0001461932],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9992949,0.00009696045,0.0002589653,0.0002958823,0.00002834081,0.00002497461],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000002410362,0.00003559504,0.6182564,0.0002423087,0.00003307284,0.000001640503,0.000119817,1.55938e-7,0.0000756417,0.1860662,0.008493609,0.1866732],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00008963167,0.000007542729,0.6600668,0.0004024636,0.00002844049,0.000004384065,0.000005286597,0.000006475181,0.0000068324,0.005291677,0.3339801,0.0001104264],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.6677052,0.3085738,0.002555544,0.01215701,0.0004119531,0.0006509795,0.0001046291,0.00007281591,0.007768118],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9147141,0.08372987,0.0001836039,0.0002514469,0.0002780597,0.00006360235,0.000003021986,0.00001447567,0.0007618064],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3254865,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3545416,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03608208746376808,"score_gpt":0.2522025358542427,"score_spread":0.2161204483904747,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}