{"id":"W3121955266","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3288189","title":"Global Inflation Dynamics and Inflation Expectations","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":9,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Wilfrid Laurier University; Balsillie School of International Affairs","funders":"","keywords":"Inflation (cosmology); Economics; Keynesian economics; Monetary economics; Econometrics; Macroeconomics; Physics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009814071,0.000101001,0.0001489357,0.0001081676,0.0002640348,0.00009773352,0.0001005268,0.00008050485,0.00008582164],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001134086,0.00011672,0.00005080866,0.0002233729,0.00006309562,0.000326049,0.00002830028,0.0003322694,0.00003607109],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001013525,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001784187,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001135836,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.004281066,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9986175,0.00001920975,0.00040355,0.0001980661,0.00003930688,0.0007223682],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994392,0.0000204462,0.000277724,0.0001293077,0.00007307377,0.00006018518],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001419977,0.00001166875,0.3263066,0.000001666397,0.00002886693,1.159926e-7,0.00007871666,0.000005904843,8.356355e-7,0.6678473,0.00001296767,0.005691205],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002900414,0.0001022347,0.0976788,0.000002914771,0.000004799924,0.00003523775,0.0002679657,0.1880507,4.310874e-7,0.7129951,0.0004613019,0.0001104927],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8039456,0.0008867245,0.1752437,0.0004765868,0.0002292655,0.00009012804,0.00003018286,0.00002107543,0.01907669],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9983753,0.0004517129,0.0003020315,0.00003426808,0.0002243851,0.000002743668,0.00001650888,0.000009417887,0.000583615],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2286278,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4759704,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.008534559162491169,"score_gpt":0.2256247332097076,"score_spread":0.2170901740472164,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}