{"id":"W3121989244","doi":"","title":"The role of Mexico in the first oil shortage: 1918-1922, an international perspective","year":2005,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"History and Politics in Latin America","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economic shortage; Petroleum industry; Quarter (Canadian coin); Petroleum; Order (exchange); Economy; Perspective (graphical); China; World War II; First world war; Development economics; Economics; Political science; Geography; Engineering; History; Finance; Law; Government (linguistics); Ancient history","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.005108444,0.0001584355,0.0002534408,0.0002273021,0.0006554883,0.0001624641,0.002282038,0.0002642338,0.0002101192],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001379205,0.0001299291,0.0001303948,0.0001480508,0.00205627,0.0001420473,0.0004028339,0.001628362,0.000007480993],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002131295,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001074213,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.005731766,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.04515741,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9970087,0.0009462795,0.0004714162,0.0004756078,0.0005179569,0.000580065],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9970649,0.001687814,0.000193425,0.0007713057,0.0001841931,0.00009837221],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001209087,0.0004645873,0.01959413,0.00002185442,0.0001061143,0.00001352626,0.2169756,0.006213463,0.000005596777,0.4607103,0.000167112,0.2956069],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001322752,0.00003675071,0.003418197,0.0000502202,0.000003953746,0.000001034677,0.09553473,0.001393936,0.000008197125,0.01284119,0.8863975,0.0001820349],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.08493829,0.0002494521,2.038955e-7,0.00308675,0.0005797879,0.0002495322,0.00004767058,0.00001232308,0.910836],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9841086,0.0116242,0.0001307861,0.0001311656,0.0009616431,0.0001560729,0.00001210421,0.0000208256,0.002854595],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9079814,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.972266,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03013503990782222,"score_gpt":0.3750892548273881,"score_spread":0.3449542149195658,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}