{"id":"W3122065411","doi":"","title":"The Ecological Insurance Trap","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Rangeland Management and Livestock Ecology","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"","keywords":"Livestock; Natural resource economics; Externality; Livelihood; Business; Incentive; Pastoralism; Investment (military); Environmental resource management; Economics; Ecology; Geography; Agriculture; Microeconomics; Forestry","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001262968,0.0003604617,0.000527794,0.0003623268,0.001107476,0.001604715,0.0007136794,0.00158563,0.01410188],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00423371,0.0002093555,0.0005514296,0.0003191339,0.002541515,0.002005518,0.001846886,0.001931127,0.0003450777],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0009650094,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001100824,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003355237,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.003127577,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999406,0.0002611965,0.00001722245,0.00008201686,0.00008972202,0.0001437774],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9978922,0.001071798,0.0004379288,0.0002136524,0.00008521157,0.0002992573],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000150116,0.0001600344,0.008576711,0.00009171631,0.00008076356,0.0007103128,0.0005683434,0.05377593,0.001067835,0.9116659,0.00607122,0.01708106],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001108733,0.0001458934,0.005672639,0.00008850874,0.00004155417,0.0007537556,0.0007646087,0.1680488,0.0003270052,0.8079854,0.01602104,0.00003991221],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.6329409,0.001395626,0.1428032,0.01988439,0.0001124419,0.0001879542,0.0008476743,0.00020065,0.2016273],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9890648,0.0002227523,0.003074523,0.0004063995,0.00003126116,0.00005072304,0.00003715528,0.00001114903,0.007101276],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01410188,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04717553,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02560979143418116,"score_gpt":0.2895442241414141,"score_spread":0.2639344327072329,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}