{"id":"W3122229510","doi":"10.1111/iere.12395","title":"FERTILITY SHOCKS AND EQUILIBRIUM MARRIAGE‐RATE DYNAMICS","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Economic Review","topic":"Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":12,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University","funders":"","keywords":"Endogeneity; Fertility; Matching (statistics); Economics; Demographic economics; Sex ratio; Marital status; Affect (linguistics); Demography; Econometrics; Psychology; Statistics; Sociology; Mathematics; Population","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009236236,0.0001387976,0.0004262509,0.000611451,0.0003619898,0.001267388,0.0003673379,0.0007902868,0.007450883],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00291778,0.0002087105,0.000408998,0.000490163,0.0004277303,0.0005911647,0.00040513,0.0004923109,0.0007147231],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001418612,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004730061,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02359109,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0114632,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998224,0.00006652976,0.000005705882,0.00003196197,0.00001381962,0.00005952928],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994129,0.0002453064,0.0001553831,0.00004978832,0.00007285208,0.00006392198],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003954889,0.0002050887,0.3119173,0.0001411579,0.0002560125,0.0006840412,0.001138045,0.340666,0.00457322,0.2853059,0.01053297,0.0441848],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00008162324,0.0002335137,0.465456,0.00007112911,0.00006626676,0.0003839649,0.001394199,0.4257399,0.0008881429,0.09121002,0.01437966,0.00009552684],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9863528,0.0004842425,0.004906146,0.001187949,0.00001774403,0.00001873112,0.001190422,0.00006280146,0.005779124],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9972351,0.0002259368,0.0002091212,0.00003598732,0.000006917292,0.000007224455,0.000264297,0.000005660285,0.002009767],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02359109,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04690754,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02205108289992149,"score_gpt":0.300613739874113,"score_spread":0.2785626569741915,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}