{"id":"W3122340909","doi":"10.3386/w22144","title":"A Conceptual Framework for Understanding Critical Transitions","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"World Systems and Global Transformations","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":3,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"Universität Hamburg; Princeton University; Economic History Association","keywords":"Politics; Openness to experience; Norm (philosophy); Critical mass (sociodynamics); Context (archaeology); Set (abstract data type); Political science; Political economy; Conceptual framework; Economic system; Public relations; Sociology; Positive economics; Economics; Social psychology; Computer science; Psychology; Social science; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004992509,0.0009400191,0.0004392251,0.004395221,0.005816121,0.008117499,0.002328911,0.00323489,0.01106547],"category_scores_gemma":[0.006041572,0.0003637648,0.0008425332,0.003630229,0.02533679,0.01737426,0.004331792,0.004580088,0.0008768418],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.01116294,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.005722219,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.008696589,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005205243,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9975044,0.001342032,0.0001245716,0.0003955977,0.0002538883,0.0003794751],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9960717,0.002140599,0.0005560576,0.0002313282,0.0004782418,0.0005220873],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00000143062,0.000005523066,0.00009599335,0.00001090742,8.366702e-7,0.00002744947,0.001858715,0.0001554601,0.00001599239,0.9965941,0.0004250577,0.0008085166],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000008899326,0.00001060413,0.0003252087,0.0000778075,0.000003795361,0.00007665574,0.006168149,0.001474768,0.00004508361,0.9489294,0.0428708,0.000008689144],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.04074237,0.006802054,0.3012457,0.04974373,0.0006882576,0.0007726187,0.0006632101,0.0002355675,0.5991066],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9100759,0.002543216,0.06848823,0.00223574,0.0004233832,0.001450076,0.0003295776,0.0001153268,0.0143385],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01116294,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.08099318,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.6792260708091975,"score_gpt":0.6132321972884669,"score_spread":0.0659938735207306,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}