{"id":"W3122576194","doi":"","title":"The J-Curve Phenomenon: Myth or Reality?","year":2006,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA","topic":"Global trade and economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Distributed lag; Economics; Agriculture; Phenomenon; International economics; Bilateral trade; International trade; Autoregressive model; Econometrics; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004851596,0.0004760746,0.0009661824,0.001388172,0.0009856673,0.003723705,0.002332676,0.004046838,0.01232847],"category_scores_gemma":[0.04335243,0.0003377222,0.0006755203,0.002583619,0.007664508,0.01273957,0.001884417,0.005862092,0.002685037],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001052482,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0008584674,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002068459,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0008203326,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983628,0.0004920697,0.00007984076,0.0004852513,0.0004509758,0.0001289919],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9813547,0.01079562,0.0026323,0.002837195,0.001760076,0.0006201052],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001588191,0.0001142901,0.01499281,0.0003202307,0.0001103342,0.0005354085,0.001967293,0.002361146,0.0004601055,0.8437749,0.08011278,0.05509196],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003952899,0.00006672385,0.005573398,0.0002085905,0.00002432692,0.0008887661,0.001554053,0.005339484,0.0002776557,0.8998445,0.08610855,0.00007447922],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1457758,0.03106538,0.1821852,0.5111835,0.00724287,0.0001657441,0.002607406,0.001485961,0.1182882],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9031553,0.01622752,0.01861184,0.03747591,0.01190479,0.0001707676,0.0006253966,0.0006243751,0.01120395],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01232847,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04124284,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03468552007333165,"score_gpt":0.227957890288301,"score_spread":0.1932723702149693,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}