{"id":"W3122583162","doi":"10.1016/j.jimonfin.2015.03.004","title":"Sovereign defaults by currency denomination","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of International Money and Finance","topic":"Credit Risk and Financial Regulations","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":34,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"HEC Montréal","funders":"","keywords":"Default; Currency; Sovereign default; Bond; Monetary economics; Sovereignty; Credit risk; Business; Economics; Foreign exchange risk; Financial system; Local currency; Financial economics; Finance; Sovereign debt; Political science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003026905,0.000200684,0.0006113345,0.001341853,0.0002916814,0.001962588,0.0004928725,0.0007851077,0.009611658],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02841224,0.0002405846,0.0006341539,0.001999113,0.0007097691,0.001704774,0.0009153112,0.001760809,0.001220183],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002922355,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001688508,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002443335,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002663197,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988146,0.0004604767,0.0001655152,0.000204146,0.0001371471,0.0002181031],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9500743,0.02541566,0.01682709,0.002699087,0.002025398,0.002958483],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001316428,0.00009126258,0.9839451,0.00003506831,0.0003116699,0.0003011115,0.0004933543,0.00174891,0.0006002703,0.001821596,0.001544987,0.007790269],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004698043,0.0002765472,0.9844878,0.00003973738,0.0002099467,0.0007989365,0.0007376081,0.008334125,0.0004385913,0.003472802,0.001127166,0.00002984828],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9953051,0.0005071402,0.0004305698,0.0002054763,0.000009498645,0.00000839788,0.0009713367,0.00001846865,0.002544028],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9989051,0.00008845899,0.0000320365,0.00001328348,0.00001064699,0.000002082889,0.0003866262,0.000003782799,0.0005580221],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.009611658,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.0321542,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02718035359474961,"score_gpt":0.2381155156360607,"score_spread":0.2109351620413111,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}