{"id":"W3122700905","doi":"","title":"Temporal Patterns in Foreign Exchange Returns and Options","year":2007,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Western University","funders":"","keywords":"Foreign exchange market; Foreign exchange; Sample (material); Financial market; Spot contract; Technical analysis; Financial economics; Business; Exchange rate; Trading strategy; Economics; Monetary economics; Finance; Futures contract","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001583592,0.0001704497,0.0002343793,0.001219758,0.0001431834,0.0008962682,0.0002512582,0.0005041749,0.002378583],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01663419,0.0001141282,0.0001894945,0.001440239,0.0002574955,0.001458738,0.0003770519,0.0005137491,0.0003064148],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002981514,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001286717,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002545944,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002572276,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996928,0.00009772494,0.00003728837,0.00005446816,0.00008441119,0.0000333717],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9929454,0.003530148,0.002483186,0.0003544365,0.0004486822,0.0002382127],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004670852,0.0001500828,0.9207652,0.0000615261,0.000181014,0.0004828376,0.0005908213,0.01522753,0.002604809,0.01276574,0.0007662596,0.04593709],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001514644,0.0001122405,0.9441033,0.00003254672,0.0000319306,0.000467141,0.0003998455,0.03871771,0.000745452,0.01383778,0.00151128,0.00002559225],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9949609,0.0003944998,0.001704974,0.0002264454,0.000008625423,0.000007212051,0.0003360299,0.00001322866,0.002347943],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.998731,0.000157299,0.0003480948,0.00001464647,0.00001013522,0.000003370742,0.0002773543,0.000003048757,0.0004551533],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.002545944,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.008374929,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01612567420843369,"score_gpt":0.2264737685618371,"score_spread":0.2103480943534034,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}