{"id":"W3122753839","doi":"","title":"Modeling News-Driven International Business Cycles","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"Toulouse 1 Capitole Publications (Université Toulouse I Capitole)","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Business cycle; Economics; Investment (military); Consumption (sociology); Extension (predicate logic); International business; Business model; Macroeconomic model; Simple (philosophy); Macroeconomics; Industrial organization; Computer science; Political science; Management","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009590124,0.0007689866,0.0011377,0.0008785742,0.0003569579,0.001952831,0.0008337473,0.002301622,0.004402606],"category_scores_gemma":[0.007352338,0.0008704918,0.0008667203,0.0008037324,0.0005137549,0.001174712,0.0006366664,0.00116456,0.0004180825],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001381151,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000937062,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03679899,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01299983,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997543,0.0001041434,0.00001180983,0.0000605625,0.00002627083,0.0000430093],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.997589,0.00190745,0.0001796244,0.00009371623,0.0001319434,0.00009840549],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00003520571,0.0000249962,0.0009615945,0.0000238812,0.0000384567,0.0000611505,0.00001591962,0.9913873,0.0001100823,0.004976844,0.000633295,0.001731205],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000009741594,0.000004679152,0.0002303198,0.000003634576,0.000006692287,0.000004995722,0.000003581115,0.9978192,0.00004567825,0.001603474,0.0002651309,0.000002779562],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8488703,0.003772803,0.1154502,0.006351789,0.0005083903,0.00008882976,0.004035145,0.0009411216,0.01998139],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9815742,0.001055866,0.006568452,0.0001298825,0.0001777474,0.0000770863,0.00118717,0.000102116,0.009127498],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03679899,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.07316959,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06057495181765495,"score_gpt":0.2255055992739573,"score_spread":0.1649306474563024,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}