{"id":"W3122915465","doi":"10.1057/jbr.2008.28","title":"Shattered on the Rock? British financial stability from 1866 to 2007","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"Journal of Banking Regulation","topic":"Economic, financial, and policy analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Greater London Authority","keywords":"Institution; Reign; Quarter (Canadian coin); Narrative; Queen (butterfly); Event (particle physics); Financial institution; Bank run; Short run; Economic history; History; Economics; Finance; Business; Political science; Law; Keynesian economics; Financial crisis; Monetary economics; Politics; Archaeology; Art","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001823449,0.000270018,0.0009580574,0.0004041453,0.000204165,0.000395204,0.0006043254,0.0003830171,0.002166092],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0006318032,0.0003008485,0.0006292913,0.0002026117,0.0000268311,0.0002101744,0.0001319535,0.000762961,0.0001901372],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005144447,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001278036,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001281562,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0004852748,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9971938,0.00007697294,0.001823888,0.0004875044,0.0001167241,0.0003011784],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9964048,0.0002145433,0.002507286,0.0006166443,0.0001538818,0.0001028922],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001422493,0.001567611,0.2149333,0.0003180933,0.001804829,0.00009081929,0.009572557,0.2704899,0.0003497096,0.1871691,0.2029354,0.1093462],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003093699,0.00009625994,0.5426561,0.0003120668,0.00004907771,0.000005544405,0.00001161391,0.002001951,0.0001428886,0.4398023,0.0142735,0.0003392587],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9732605,0.001052953,0.01507471,0.004646953,0.001670118,0.0002831088,0.0004355344,0.00001536447,0.003560796],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.994109,0.0001767163,0.0007242578,0.001744641,0.002977837,0.000006626667,0.00004628485,0.00002800686,0.0001866029],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3277228,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999444,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04615140791285161,"score_gpt":0.2305010288121395,"score_spread":0.1843496208992879,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}