{"id":"W3123002867","doi":"10.2308/accr-50912","title":"Analyst Interest as an Early Indicator of Firm Fundamental Changes and Stock Returns","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Accounting Review","topic":"Financial Markets and Investment Strategies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":54,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"","keywords":"Earnings; Economics; Stock (firearms); Financial economics; Portfolio; Interest rate; Capital market; Monetary economics; Business; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001091482,0.0001168348,0.000408048,0.00006932912,0.00009426254,0.00007487809,0.0002679709,0.00003845506,0.0002175248],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000164952,0.00008938896,0.00005616557,0.0001437045,0.00010776,0.0002183747,0.00008515766,0.0001000826,0.00007504846],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00001494036,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000007432611,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0004139924,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00009835147,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999178,0.00002929388,0.0003867658,0.0002171217,0.00003277634,0.0001560203],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9990566,0.00004768553,0.0005163772,0.0003285351,0.00001606873,0.0000346723],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002368567,0.0001216852,0.416379,0.003094219,0.0001268486,0.000001044949,0.000868529,1.806967e-7,0.00007179019,0.5384831,0.002538613,0.03829126],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003606818,0.000572044,0.7359393,0.002067943,0.00008675014,0.000007651516,0.000138804,0.0001812828,0.00005172403,0.03167887,0.2284592,0.0004557334],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9445227,0.04714665,0.000004659574,0.001274645,0.00009399707,0.0002232966,0.00001937493,0.00001403544,0.006700583],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9784305,0.01976494,0.00004692665,0.001512095,0.00009311031,0.0000162019,0.000006667598,0.00001260556,0.0001169416],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.5068043,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3645176,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05020140747106039,"score_gpt":0.2590750159986241,"score_spread":0.2088736085275637,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}