{"id":"W3123165713","doi":"","title":"Are Returns to Education on the Decline in Venezuela and Does Mission Sucre Have a Role to Play","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Economic and Social Development","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Surprise; Economics; Recession; Globe; Gross domestic product; Quarter (Canadian coin); Argument (complex analysis); Development economics; Economic growth; Demographic economics; Political science; Business; Geography; Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003617748,0.0001873795,0.000341188,0.0003614599,0.0003822585,0.0002303807,0.0005886297,0.0003685786,0.00005945781],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001583085,0.0001547045,0.00005947597,0.0001275822,0.0001448466,0.00005652459,0.0005690223,0.0008841248,0.00001656184],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00197131,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001496012,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003135535,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.09574389,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9976254,0.0005050838,0.0004296848,0.0006644762,0.0002191124,0.0005562515],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9985006,0.0005541713,0.0001510806,0.0003935214,0.00007914162,0.0003214128],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004101593,0.0005521486,0.1635214,0.00008208647,0.00005666678,0.00001698066,0.1432643,0.003217149,0.00006916305,0.01268868,0.003505016,0.6726162],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003946893,0.0001099115,0.4175874,0.00134314,0.000005102754,6.285603e-7,0.1449769,0.0003275545,0.0001313455,0.05036793,0.3839798,0.0007757053],"study_design_candidate":"design_other","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8659195,0.00005988099,3.206694e-7,0.02858437,0.0003045914,0.001195326,0.00001694251,0.00001335488,0.1039058],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9869403,0.00368431,0.0003361413,0.00261767,0.0004014148,0.0002006351,0.00001253378,0.00002302602,0.005784004],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.6718405,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9207564,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03933013772399839,"score_gpt":0.3731372868257172,"score_spread":0.3338071491017188,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}