{"id":"W3123348698","doi":"10.5430/afr.v10n1p11","title":"Unobservable Monetary Policy Surprises and Exchange Rates","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Accounting and Finance Research","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Monetary economics; Economics; Liberian dollar; Monetary policy; Statement (logic); Currency; Exchange rate; Value (mathematics); Unobservable; Interest rate; Econometrics; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009765686,0.0002176457,0.0003027511,0.0004435337,0.000195706,0.001404955,0.0002000816,0.0005730925,0.00291603],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01568357,0.000151605,0.0001984584,0.0005521196,0.0003501879,0.0008300185,0.0005056862,0.001156593,0.0004986349],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004750727,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001672422,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002473694,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001639548,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996365,0.0001279092,0.00002976417,0.00006571035,0.00008687568,0.00005317571],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.990021,0.005390338,0.003628358,0.0003613714,0.0002530741,0.0003458046],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001752377,0.0003798923,0.9259918,0.0001169378,0.0002731915,0.000793021,0.000623632,0.01636811,0.003426467,0.01024836,0.002891833,0.03713441],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003352381,0.0002090462,0.9670584,0.00001980168,0.00007253826,0.000155941,0.0003712735,0.01982048,0.001117417,0.009383783,0.001729559,0.00002811081],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9946132,0.0004010267,0.0007633243,0.0006957946,0.0000495359,0.000003453208,0.0003421155,0.00003303502,0.003098562],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9991719,0.0001526394,0.00005878321,0.00004440174,0.00002802988,0.00000169876,0.0001815542,0.000004203906,0.0003568447],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.00291603,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.009755135,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1723423500008164,"score_gpt":0.3255017067921193,"score_spread":0.153159356791303,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}