{"id":"W3123544830","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2457848","title":"Theory and Practice of GVAR Modeling","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Trinity College","funders":"","keywords":"Psychology; Econometrics; Economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.006319801,0.00007881418,0.0002748166,0.0001309106,0.0001038325,0.00003779268,0.0001178451,0.00003768538,0.00007316507],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004663483,0.00007911557,0.00009275248,0.0001139017,0.00002389038,0.0002111176,0.00002953687,0.0003814916,0.00002715954],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00009633873,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00006039134,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0003064124,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00006870058,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998695,0.00007591898,0.0004415035,0.0001459302,0.00003283013,0.0006088796],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9992602,0.0001413566,0.0003602761,0.0001470822,0.00004925059,0.00004181464],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0000371389,0.00001588281,0.0005664371,0.000005441344,0.0001602218,1.488072e-7,0.0001326488,0.0005865414,0.00001163121,0.995243,0.000005851477,0.003235033],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002790226,0.0001349864,0.00005805947,0.000007173041,0.00002601691,0.000159494,0.001715519,0.02697328,0.000001745546,0.9592652,0.01127206,0.0001074051],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1825971,0.02496173,0.7480762,0.0008838652,0.0001521133,0.00007470852,0.000005515811,0.00001487701,0.04323392],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9958867,0.002658945,0.0003196791,0.00005597444,0.0001224684,9.257569e-7,6.34004e-7,0.00001202615,0.000942671],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.8132896,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3226239,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0138312516740229,"score_gpt":0.2164203065445585,"score_spread":0.2025890548705356,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}