{"id":"W3123570644","doi":"","title":"The Expectations Hypothesis, Term Premia, and the Canadian Term Structure of Interest Rates","year":2000,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"","keywords":"Term (time); Economics; Yield curve; Econometrics; Risk premium; Interest rate; Conditional expectation; Affine term structure model; Contrast (vision); Financial economics; Monetary economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001832845,0.0005764793,0.0004561518,0.001133427,0.0010794,0.002624648,0.000700058,0.0007068474,0.005056497],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01288624,0.0001940258,0.0005760226,0.002233572,0.001211619,0.001171081,0.0006601127,0.001706024,0.0005875265],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00657403,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.01138719,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.7133575,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.6916751,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988896,0.00009634851,0.00009065151,0.0001745876,0.0004555617,0.000293267],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9925241,0.002113718,0.003152197,0.0002685299,0.001281939,0.0006594502],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0007698187,0.0001184162,0.818314,0.0002616362,0.0003159308,0.0003979916,0.001490635,0.009639001,0.001729892,0.1105881,0.007033278,0.04934135],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00008349938,0.0001827949,0.9357074,0.0001543394,0.000396872,0.0002120931,0.001630782,0.01613643,0.0018945,0.03015026,0.01335081,0.0001000801],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9132246,0.00317459,0.01001831,0.007270365,0.0001718971,0.0001877954,0.006861805,0.0001315762,0.05895899],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9887897,0.001143146,0.001136475,0.0002549131,0.00009835182,0.00003715677,0.003118898,0.00001659413,0.005404787],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2866425,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.5766611,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03199967968172281,"score_gpt":0.2123051000812686,"score_spread":0.1803054203995458,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}