{"id":"W3123733315","doi":"","title":"The impact of economic and political factors on popularity for France (1981- 2017)","year":2015,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"HAL (Le Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe)","topic":"Populism, Right-Wing Movements","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Institute on Governance","funders":"","keywords":"Popularity; Politics; Political science; Business; Natural resource economics; Economics; Law","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001281685,0.0001928749,0.0003701557,0.002318116,0.0006064565,0.001781973,0.0003825199,0.0006430314,0.007695028],"category_scores_gemma":[0.007528332,0.00008258547,0.0004484195,0.001775902,0.0006427676,0.0008704756,0.0005007985,0.0005790741,0.0008580028],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001569984,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004672846,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0391816,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02636896,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994668,0.0001635261,0.00001869465,0.00007237506,0.00009835097,0.0001802562],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9942492,0.00281883,0.001477698,0.000237788,0.0006793607,0.000536994],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0008132337,0.0001950123,0.880154,0.0002218708,0.0003065895,0.0009832755,0.002088136,0.01619404,0.002609801,0.03281379,0.007767663,0.05585277],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0000280942,0.0001737745,0.9704956,0.00003256198,0.00004368525,0.0002572549,0.001288208,0.01637198,0.0004698995,0.001878141,0.008923051,0.00003768559],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9917356,0.0007937482,0.0008795889,0.0005767205,0.00001989495,0.000008261338,0.0008100359,0.00003700328,0.005139083],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.997766,0.0001430709,0.00008120982,0.00001226898,0.00003208948,0.000004150286,0.0005471241,0.000009796021,0.001404291],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0391816,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.07790709,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03981126760085841,"score_gpt":0.3314001358637029,"score_spread":0.2915888682628445,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}