{"id":"W3123835452","doi":"","title":"Another Look at Residual Seasonality in GDP","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Economic Growth and Productivity","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Quarter (Canadian coin); Pace; Seasonality; Residual; Slowdown; Economics; Seasonal adjustment; Agricultural economics; Econometrics; Geography; Statistics; Mathematics; Economic growth; Geodesy","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001076173,0.0002121306,0.0003835941,0.001174934,0.0004568534,0.001476609,0.0004459009,0.0006255452,0.007018715],"category_scores_gemma":[0.007459104,0.0001191249,0.0005653735,0.002300585,0.0006255285,0.001422675,0.000683707,0.002004768,0.0006400449],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007684127,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005905685,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02880022,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02871768,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994628,0.00007691231,0.00003191728,0.0001496129,0.0001424608,0.0001362273],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9967034,0.0009517146,0.0006938651,0.0004623249,0.0009304567,0.0002582218],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0006307805,0.0002635444,0.5328588,0.0004563895,0.0007472217,0.001438245,0.003902138,0.0108456,0.006538223,0.1836427,0.1226291,0.1360474],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004771235,0.0002585057,0.7465615,0.0002840482,0.0002086462,0.0005895873,0.003177602,0.02012037,0.001931953,0.09064869,0.1360607,0.0001105632],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7877412,0.007486245,0.03035525,0.05775402,0.001875928,0.00005567423,0.01298181,0.0007965795,0.1009533],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9810702,0.00141519,0.001937637,0.002501968,0.0005718016,0.00001120625,0.003389913,0.0002555453,0.008846665],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02880022,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05726516,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07883000815870392,"score_gpt":0.3076156137455544,"score_spread":0.2287856055868505,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}