{"id":"W3123870847","doi":"","title":"Effects of fiscal policy shocks in an open economy: evidence from Canada","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Canadian Policy and Governance","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Fiscal multiplier; Fiscal policy; Recession; Monetary economics; Macroeconomics; Multiplier (economics); Tax revenue; Small open economy; Debt; Government spending; Monetary policy; Welfare; Market economy","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001094107,0.0003382581,0.0006452245,0.001448339,0.003750963,0.003452096,0.001037021,0.000745474,0.003591646],"category_scores_gemma":[0.007283111,0.0002402531,0.0006134731,0.005262682,0.00184344,0.0007621693,0.001560165,0.001604855,0.000280772],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.04816308,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.06446352,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9981722,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.9984722,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9987918,0.00009216888,0.00005161756,0.0001209129,0.0004152335,0.0005282957],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9919362,0.001215149,0.001452393,0.0003279202,0.003819374,0.001248922],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001800557,0.0005479864,0.8445077,0.0005871466,0.0008453202,0.001805256,0.007192818,0.01118313,0.0009542963,0.02520645,0.05190933,0.05346013],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001572862,0.00008659559,0.9512191,0.000250297,0.0003806447,0.00009425032,0.01027889,0.003771509,0.0005726543,0.002093273,0.03096722,0.0001283185],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9595329,0.003426011,0.0002705752,0.007555156,0.00006602355,0.00006039658,0.009696197,0.00003934543,0.01935344],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9900362,0.003112801,0.0001140727,0.0004097563,0.0000257981,0.000008950301,0.003369564,0.00001298823,0.002909722],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.04816308,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3494492,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04105467506847773,"score_gpt":0.3671881284319148,"score_spread":0.3261334533634371,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}