{"id":"W3124082427","doi":"","title":"Less Debt, More Growth: A Shadow Federal Budget for 2019","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"C.D. Howe Institute Commentary","topic":"Canadian Policy and Governance","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Federal budget; Shadow (psychology); Debt; Economics; Government (linguistics); Economic policy; Government budget; Dynamism; Business; Finance; Fiscal year; Public finance; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002474491,0.000166008,0.0002187684,0.00006588496,0.0006998496,0.0001290396,0.0005071427,0.0001106568,0.0001252599],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00007190996,0.0001797427,0.0001354947,0.00017916,0.0003161857,0.0006476679,0.00007568259,0.0001576723,0.00008468006],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000363227,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000304222,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.2065785,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1457621,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9986254,0.00004494911,0.0001914514,0.0002981865,0.0002662808,0.0005737575],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.999227,0.0001037849,0.00009480318,0.0002638894,0.00006312119,0.0002473671],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004145381,0.00004812861,0.006979901,0.0000294477,0.00003247075,0.00001034104,0.002628443,0.000008644832,0.00003211674,0.05775987,0.9280106,0.004418509],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0008834719,0.00004678859,0.004196599,0.00005250996,0.00001262005,0.000002734278,0.001185621,0.00002804918,0.00009402866,0.002505698,0.9907146,0.0002772619],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.5260245,0.0006498801,0.0003164965,0.4329717,0.00438354,0.001802295,0.001669334,0.0001380939,0.03204414],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8238096,0.0002749626,0.0007153545,0.1572136,0.001647044,0.00009734029,0.0002164718,0.00003538228,0.0159902],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2977851,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.8698255,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02405354696054355,"score_gpt":0.2964848423873115,"score_spread":0.2724312954267679,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}