{"id":"W3124113385","doi":"","title":"Volatility and growth","year":2004,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":13,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Volatility (finance); Openness to experience; Recession; Monetary economics; Business cycle; Macroeconomics; Econometrics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002556113,0.0004664408,0.001149826,0.0009293468,0.000197801,0.0002744004,0.0007778197,0.0008105166,0.0001442543],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0006806964,0.0006177701,0.0002455516,0.0001469813,0.0005762783,0.0002485143,0.001491343,0.002158295,0.0001162512],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001494769,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002543284,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0007853037,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0002143771,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9956102,0.00007820712,0.001442222,0.001697476,0.0000562474,0.001115671],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9978098,0.0002763448,0.0004283483,0.001092406,0.0000473229,0.0003457398],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001559722,0.0004568004,0.3785527,0.00110233,0.0002899711,0.0000406586,0.001505327,0.0008708936,0.000005437859,0.5954301,0.0002276148,0.02136214],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0008636163,0.00007032157,0.1288088,0.0001085473,0.000003683007,0.000008549358,0.00008023164,0.01145231,0.00002144982,0.8525748,0.005344766,0.0006629156],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.5353487,0.0007722293,0.00001335655,0.00113363,0.0005313756,0.0006184835,0.0004087408,0.00005162362,0.4611219],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9951375,0.002878484,0.0003610025,0.0002469591,0.0003932705,0.0001643573,0.00005933274,0.0000902031,0.0006689348],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.460453,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9996274,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05256658181291665,"score_gpt":0.2856647118500762,"score_spread":0.2330981300371596,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}