{"id":"W3124179374","doi":"","title":"Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: A General Equilibrium Exploration","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"Institutional Repositories DataBase (IRDB)","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Japan Society for the Promotion of Science","keywords":"Economics; Discounting; Stochastic discount factor; Random walk; Exchange rate; Econometrics; General equilibrium theory; Consumption (sociology); Asset (computer security); Partial equilibrium; Unit of account; Mathematical economics; Microeconomics; Capital asset pricing model; Macroeconomics; Mathematics; Finance; Statistics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005128491,0.0004485757,0.0006414407,0.0002943662,0.0003189053,0.0004517014,0.0003300013,0.0002917619,0.0003369462],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001877106,0.0004672651,0.0001570955,0.00008014617,0.0003586971,0.001890959,0.0009287603,0.0003380416,0.0003936106],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004389039,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001338605,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001848384,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00004338651,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9973818,0.0000386386,0.001009586,0.001019413,0.00009000939,0.0004605598],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9982088,0.00007685593,0.0006503219,0.0007937129,0.00003562689,0.0002346436],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0005341933,0.000431257,0.05909112,0.001694049,0.001217112,0.0002354377,0.00207099,0.003304182,0.002095639,0.8738126,0.05375272,0.00176072],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002828862,0.0002517287,0.01356478,0.001102745,0.0001097816,0.0003287718,0.0001114146,0.0189197,0.004659651,0.1970652,0.7579283,0.003129158],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9086677,0.01617394,0.01254798,0.00337664,0.01154905,0.0009458319,0.02373236,0.0001975066,0.02280902],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9843993,0.001821441,0.001950964,0.0004285974,0.004724464,0.000244978,0.00340854,0.00005205573,0.002969648],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.7041755,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9997779,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1229077657399671,"score_gpt":0.2809895818696965,"score_spread":0.1580818161297294,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}