{"id":"W3124449783","doi":"10.1101/2020.02.20.20025510","title":"ACP risk grade: a simple mortality index for patients with confirmed or suspected severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 disease (COVID-19) during the early stage of outbreak in Wuhan, China","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"medRxiv","topic":"COVID-19 Clinical Research Studies","field":"Medicine","cited_by":112,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Southern Medical University; School of Medicine, New York University; York University","keywords":"Medicine; Interquartile range; Outbreak; Pneumonia; Retrospective cohort study; Severity of illness; Internal medicine; Severe acute respiratory syndrome; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Pediatrics; Mortality rate; Disease; Emergency medicine; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Pathology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005779937,0.000393742,0.000351002,0.001922885,0.0003623717,0.0006001561,0.0005955631,0.0004208636,0.0009716733],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001529475,0.0002160157,0.0004136094,0.00118943,0.0001954888,0.0005551915,0.0006407773,0.0004612573,0.0001700069],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007468573,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0007067797,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.009732326,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.009559485,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9995647,0.00009102475,0.00007784519,0.0001094235,0.00008776067,0.00006925061],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9989303,0.00008955581,0.0005553713,0.00004422313,0.0001476437,0.0002328934],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004347954,0.000008350158,0.9994391,0.000003574295,0.0000157805,0.00003124742,0.00001254036,0.00003478738,0.00005131719,0.000004346198,0.00005630386,0.0002991338],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000003944374,0.00004371414,0.9992811,0.000002122216,0.000009149402,0.00008374768,0.00005283058,0.0004442536,0.00002819004,0.00000932228,0.00003934859,0.000002354671],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9989874,0.00009078792,0.00006651288,0.00002895892,0.00000538219,0.00001525746,0.0005672549,0.000003934672,0.0002344328],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9990232,0.00002597453,0.00007780458,0.000007391234,0.000007886235,0.00001622171,0.0007546233,7.586616e-7,0.00008606943],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.009732326,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01935136,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1159501820839322,"score_gpt":0.4316262896492217,"score_spread":0.3156761075652895,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}