{"id":"W3124450917","doi":"","title":"The Intensity of Trade Creation and Trade Diversion in COMESA, ECCAS and ECOWAS: A Comparative Analysis","year":2005,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Global trade and economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Athabasca University","funders":"","keywords":"Trade creation; Trade diversion; Gravity model of trade; Intensity (physics); Population; Economics; International economics; International trade; Bilateral trade; Economic integration; International free trade agreement; Geography; Demography; Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009563823,0.0002008984,0.0004430277,0.006340231,0.0005545901,0.001987903,0.0002551757,0.0002367865,0.003559878],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002630751,0.0001228578,0.0008012234,0.008667058,0.00114322,0.001293831,0.001538808,0.0003884884,0.000231888],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001143091,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004546493,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.005295489,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.007287921,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999418,0.0001379666,0.00004262954,0.00007794899,0.0001718069,0.0001516114],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9970465,0.00126271,0.0008924259,0.0001733169,0.0003127937,0.0003122655],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001861695,0.00006268016,0.9733218,0.00008079838,0.0003195574,0.0004073924,0.001273983,0.003628587,0.000711507,0.006764505,0.0003502082,0.01289283],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000008568313,0.00003694428,0.9934232,0.00001505023,0.00006179767,0.0001486315,0.001944882,0.001794592,0.0001574561,0.00109947,0.001300397,0.000008969194],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9941766,0.0001833815,0.0001783468,0.00004810054,0.000002057778,0.000006482925,0.0001789876,0.000004622131,0.005221434],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9989331,0.0001971697,0.0001083109,0.000006972874,0.000009756582,0.000004449575,0.0003797022,0.000001911112,0.0003585288],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.006340231,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01190901,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02789718120433647,"score_gpt":0.2239949196794993,"score_spread":0.1960977384751628,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}