{"id":"W3124496074","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2494395","title":"Fiscal Policy: Ex Ante and Ex Post","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Fiscal Policies and Political Economy","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Center for Interuniversity Research and Analysis on Organizations; Université de Montréal; HEC Montréal","funders":"","keywords":"Fiscal policy; Monetary policy; Economics; Ex-ante; Government (linguistics); Fiscal union; Macroeconomics; Fiscal year; Monetary economics; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002055477,0.0001544944,0.0003292547,0.0008144761,0.0005679273,0.004587912,0.0002890746,0.0009550715,0.00981337],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00781054,0.0002263938,0.0001884437,0.00155299,0.0006470082,0.002750618,0.0006454877,0.001739315,0.001578276],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00243203,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001545811,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.009604611,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01181392,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9993842,0.0001166185,0.00004482216,0.0001144177,0.0001430905,0.0001969018],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9970382,0.000897362,0.001283388,0.000166124,0.0003887312,0.0002260672],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001856228,0.0007608299,0.4609638,0.0004598382,0.0003284379,0.0008558402,0.002051074,0.01719548,0.001091213,0.2804561,0.06183379,0.1721474],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001345489,0.0003260522,0.7085754,0.0004829913,0.0001285321,0.0003704637,0.005385413,0.01010093,0.002383502,0.1140662,0.1579529,0.00009306916],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7945342,0.007229428,0.002054427,0.0329884,0.0006932885,0.00004072998,0.008800698,0.0001227334,0.1535361],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9865335,0.00237907,0.0002903797,0.0005367483,0.0002153373,0.00001376309,0.0012067,0.00002291104,0.008801644],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.00981337,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03282899,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01169342783524582,"score_gpt":0.2244010801785179,"score_spread":0.212707652343272,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}