{"id":"W3124755841","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2035306","title":"Cobweb Theorems with Production Lags and Price Forecasting","year":2012,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Economic theories and models","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Université de Montréal","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Production (economics); Econometrics; Price elasticity of demand; Constant (computer programming); Mathematical economics; Microeconomics; Computer science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004134873,0.001501275,0.0009530971,0.002190653,0.0007590349,0.002769993,0.001940192,0.002470465,0.007325372],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02937665,0.0008812148,0.001037888,0.002351818,0.002487629,0.00967334,0.001815214,0.004142975,0.001655998],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001103967,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0008665732,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001631465,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0006781814,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992411,0.0002967717,0.00004523173,0.0001297511,0.000216284,0.00007075247],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9890597,0.008677538,0.0005584172,0.000855317,0.0006229309,0.0002261858],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002930559,0.00001936279,0.0003120859,0.00004978359,0.00001698039,0.0001001799,0.00004867193,0.0170473,0.0001873956,0.9635766,0.002710713,0.0159015],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000008021212,0.000003633365,0.00008277629,0.000010304,0.0000053315,0.00003410675,0.000004863116,0.06227553,0.0001337393,0.9359393,0.001496314,0.000005907915],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.01660532,0.003638488,0.9450753,0.00388297,0.0006628012,0.00001794354,0.0001819638,0.0003400125,0.02959511],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.7133065,0.008904264,0.2140578,0.001223635,0.003055416,0.0001779363,0.0004935254,0.0005243987,0.05825657],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.007325372,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02450585,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01989624540259243,"score_gpt":0.1845373811051824,"score_spread":0.16464113570259,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}