{"id":"W3125059557","doi":"","title":"Sources of Disagreement in Inflation Forecasts: An International Empirical Investigation","year":2012,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Wilfrid Laurier University","funders":"","keywords":"Transparency (behavior); Inflation (cosmology); Economics; Monetary policy; Inflation targeting; Central bank; Monetary economics; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.006618136,0.0003068033,0.000535959,0.004432839,0.0006308982,0.003183756,0.000703003,0.0008799252,0.004193025],"category_scores_gemma":[0.03089496,0.0002556666,0.0004618268,0.008682915,0.001303733,0.002910409,0.001871733,0.001695904,0.0009531866],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000750664,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000398655,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003907137,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002231181,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9956385,0.001822046,0.0004937755,0.0006248727,0.001112224,0.0003085345],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9260376,0.04068277,0.02507142,0.003163861,0.004318586,0.0007258324],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0008656921,0.0002849258,0.9207187,0.0005127051,0.0005215273,0.0005254237,0.007798868,0.002328622,0.0006575797,0.008163218,0.009111625,0.04851117],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00006800435,0.00008805059,0.972791,0.0004137244,0.0001909774,0.000541679,0.007235261,0.004785222,0.0009495925,0.002888758,0.009989189,0.0000586502],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.965055,0.003016918,0.001909458,0.001303395,0.00006490724,0.00003435353,0.003124393,0.00004494947,0.02544661],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9960068,0.0009787618,0.0003473261,0.00007779421,0.00009197483,0.00001160093,0.002082898,0.00002695538,0.0003758648],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.006618136,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.0350005,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1802357411626161,"score_gpt":0.3476757142695389,"score_spread":0.1674399731069228,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}