{"id":"W3125061836","doi":"","title":"Elections, Economic Outcomes and Policy Choices in Canada: 1870 - 2015","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Carleton University","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Fiscal policy; Business cycle; Volatility (finance); Unemployment; Monetary economics; Per capita; Politics; Monetary policy; Unemployment rate; Macroeconomics; Economic policy; Political science; Econometrics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001102384,0.0003443179,0.000661869,0.002571113,0.002931846,0.002550924,0.001038755,0.0008787643,0.008843426],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004392526,0.0003374294,0.0008106356,0.007296911,0.0008143667,0.0007640535,0.001460652,0.00183987,0.001044913],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.04235163,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.08175496,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9982634,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.9991623,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988674,0.00004694141,0.00005774256,0.0001412241,0.0003376956,0.0005490234],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9953446,0.0002710492,0.000678147,0.0001191055,0.002409563,0.001177572],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0005083841,0.0001245423,0.8702038,0.000199605,0.0004239596,0.0002201062,0.001824131,0.002802284,0.0001900185,0.008312851,0.09008969,0.02510077],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003132418,0.0000233863,0.9529267,0.0001072559,0.00008721933,0.00004464756,0.001630282,0.001560156,0.0001994111,0.0003495177,0.04299175,0.00004841135],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8312808,0.005650776,0.000406495,0.007962258,0.0002455219,0.00006927331,0.1345449,0.0001279247,0.01971208],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9288518,0.002320055,0.0002721853,0.0005460893,0.00008251031,0.00002886281,0.03519855,0.00005094679,0.0326491],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.04235163,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3072841,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04762123801896476,"score_gpt":0.3032914414285446,"score_spread":0.2556702034095798,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}