{"id":"W3125137326","doi":"","title":"Twin Deficits: Squaring Theory, Evidence and Common Sense","year":2005,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":2,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Current account; Openness to experience; Monetary economics; Balance of trade; Government spending; Shock (circulatory); Terms of trade; Business cycle; Fiscal policy; Investment (military); Government revenue; Macroeconomics; Exchange rate; Public finance; Politics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01573418,0.0006923638,0.00220039,0.01118608,0.00153605,0.007547438,0.002725835,0.002941094,0.01221892],"category_scores_gemma":[0.06116491,0.000626313,0.001309772,0.008313659,0.01387076,0.02255804,0.007309543,0.003662045,0.0007076251],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001585022,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0007160116,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002427642,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00127452,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9908748,0.002540117,0.0009154768,0.00279555,0.002365048,0.0005091531],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9103285,0.06322847,0.01060884,0.0111165,0.003617888,0.001099664],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000319083,0.0001064544,0.04670532,0.0009803738,0.0008019424,0.0009242187,0.003610516,0.003472378,0.0004860006,0.8609272,0.004416071,0.07725054],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004478094,0.00006307456,0.01604134,0.0003394941,0.0001225855,0.0004171275,0.002200779,0.005819445,0.0002910414,0.9654208,0.009180513,0.00005915494],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.4827601,0.0386579,0.2914672,0.06400422,0.0010766,0.0001528635,0.001544649,0.0004559133,0.1198806],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.985479,0.003596552,0.006556452,0.00222407,0.0007135191,0.00003887107,0.0003137432,0.00004749815,0.001030198],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01573418,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.0832113,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07923325410088856,"score_gpt":0.3136256465555228,"score_spread":0.2343923924546343,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}