{"id":"W3125170124","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3489808","title":"Active Fixed Income Illusions","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Economic Theory and Institutions","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Acadian Seaplants (Canada)","funders":"","keywords":"Fixed income; Illusion; Economics; Geography; Psychology; Cognitive psychology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006701362,0.0003582098,0.0004021621,0.0009331671,0.001154278,0.002142989,0.0007171668,0.001364091,0.03166174],"category_scores_gemma":[0.005566622,0.0001463366,0.0004137162,0.000521258,0.002420703,0.00337845,0.002118179,0.002428115,0.001919698],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006564964,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000316471,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0002992135,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0002409464,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996124,0.00006733998,0.00001881719,0.00007481511,0.0001102456,0.0001163696],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.997703,0.0007159403,0.0003671585,0.0005093176,0.0003332442,0.0003713277],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004938638,0.00002197476,0.0003409981,0.00001148854,0.000003942278,0.0001274684,0.000124524,0.0001608322,0.0002380803,0.9882239,0.002891814,0.007805443],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002631937,0.00002099314,0.0005576637,0.00001091953,0.000005016844,0.0002684125,0.0001219949,0.001728381,0.0002498043,0.9914439,0.005560207,0.000006335973],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.3201613,0.0008480836,0.05645333,0.0123215,0.000724847,0.00008036623,0.0004020998,0.0002963516,0.6087121],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.96242,0.0002142935,0.001658784,0.0004263817,0.0002142929,0.00002066289,0.00006899653,0.00003267755,0.03494384],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.03166174,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1059191,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.009733088280471598,"score_gpt":0.199885031842069,"score_spread":0.1901519435615975,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}