{"id":"W3125327145","doi":"10.32920/22341316.v1","title":"Experimenting with Credibility in Refugee Adjudication: Gaydar","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"Judicial and Constitutional Studies","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":7,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada; York University","keywords":"Refugee; Credibility; Persecution; Adjudication; Plaintiff; Immigration; Refugee law; Political science; Law; Politics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007785746,0.0001206587,0.0002143103,0.00006949809,0.0004438398,0.00005568869,0.0002476068,0.0001354847,0.0001853976],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002236281,0.0001027156,0.0000495019,0.0002893951,0.0006143781,0.00006189751,0.0003743882,0.0002589464,0.00009404258],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002201943,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006194793,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.05605931,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.06958916,"domain_scores_codex":[0.99853,0.0001037378,0.0002316622,0.0004144342,0.0004619901,0.0002581762],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994482,0.00009611526,0.00009448331,0.0001882181,0.0001169301,0.0000560637],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004984443,0.0001804568,0.1876262,0.00004530863,0.0001177929,0.00003114758,0.01604936,0.0005200263,0.00001106981,0.7896626,0.003502989,0.002203228],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000744907,0.00006750549,0.3756531,0.0009880505,0.00007513748,7.508198e-7,0.04850705,0.0001661265,0.0001321193,0.4714304,0.1008698,0.001365047],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.2808323,0.001294236,0.0009300303,0.01310521,0.001144298,0.0009440653,0.0000181295,0.0005877425,0.701144],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9970976,0.0002013198,0.0005120378,0.0001019584,0.0004138456,0.0001477989,0.00001093651,0.000006639909,0.001507896],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.7162653,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9502265,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1041770414687877,"score_gpt":0.375316830905323,"score_spread":0.2711397894365353,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}