{"id":"W3125654869","doi":"","title":"What Goes Up Must Come Down? House Price Dynamics in the United States","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Housing Market and Economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Bust; Boom; Economics; Quarter (Canadian coin); House price; Foreclosure; Point (geometry); Monetary economics; Price index; Baby boom; Dynamics (music); Macroeconomics; Finance; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000305323,0.0001039854,0.000222712,0.0003824944,0.0003073669,0.001938664,0.0002474779,0.0006069653,0.001296041],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001444728,0.0001713448,0.0001996644,0.0006968972,0.0003724977,0.001121828,0.0003678392,0.0006626355,0.0001728497],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001077891,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002453531,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0433966,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.04635264,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998864,0.00002000013,0.000008973437,0.00004031023,0.00001841873,0.0000258444],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995714,0.0000753331,0.0001617519,0.00002129611,0.0001104234,0.00005977217],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002971443,0.000151481,0.9284874,0.00005711364,0.0002253412,0.0006233583,0.001549316,0.01085826,0.001642706,0.01206,0.01115056,0.03289729],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001556056,0.00008379428,0.9678397,0.00003675922,0.00004580339,0.0001823688,0.002583441,0.01938513,0.0005970661,0.003197917,0.006001955,0.00003048644],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9951219,0.000457749,0.0003109419,0.001152693,0.00001780911,0.000002391226,0.0004135656,0.00001228184,0.002510745],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9990799,0.0001901655,0.00008541573,0.00009506186,0.0000103159,0.000001010588,0.0002382259,0.000003441213,0.0002964611],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0433966,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.08628798,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04806568728712297,"score_gpt":0.2822524175250822,"score_spread":0.2341867302379593,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}