{"id":"W3125697639","doi":"","title":"Anomalous Trading Prior to Lehman Brothers' Failure","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","topic":"Financial Markets and Investment Strategies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Market liquidity; Monetary economics; Quarter (Canadian coin); Business; Stock (firearms); Insolvency; Volume-weighted average price; Economics; Market maker; Financial system; Finance; Stock market","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000495569,0.0001889904,0.0003371975,0.0006008189,0.0003989866,0.001033102,0.0002287318,0.000570085,0.001447056],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004511504,0.000122851,0.0001724959,0.00046299,0.0004262719,0.0005869634,0.0004652559,0.0006666505,0.0003074355],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002974751,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001978106,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002897117,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002731564,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998257,0.00002432803,0.00001183278,0.00004077428,0.00004523372,0.0000522292],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9980459,0.0007489463,0.0007201702,0.0001140179,0.0001164582,0.0002544366],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002951703,0.001181102,0.8735713,0.0001511157,0.000285359,0.006028575,0.002079969,0.01899016,0.01943912,0.017311,0.008761605,0.04924901],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001207691,0.0005604416,0.9104146,0.00005046636,0.00009787806,0.001047302,0.0009611744,0.06865203,0.003765211,0.01037665,0.003880795,0.0000727758],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9980879,0.000155859,0.0004063076,0.0001013582,0.00001416926,0.000003850826,0.0001271511,0.00002639126,0.001076846],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9995341,0.00003804067,0.00007613166,0.00001057314,0.00001738739,0.000001828165,0.000178179,0.000002926192,0.0001408819],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.002897117,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.00576055,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03968922972937691,"score_gpt":0.2759880981168262,"score_spread":0.2362988683874493,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}