{"id":"W3125828814","doi":"10.1016/j.psychres.2021.113740","title":"Predictors of conversion from major depressive disorder to bipolar disorder","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Psychiatry Research","topic":"Bipolar Disorder and Treatment","field":"Medicine","cited_by":19,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"McMaster University","funders":"Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior","keywords":"Major depressive disorder; Bipolar disorder; Prospective cohort study; Psychiatry; Cohort; Family history; Medicine; Psychology; Clinical psychology; Internal medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002218775,0.0001772797,0.0003407766,0.0002398449,0.0001895628,0.00002234226,0.000181333,0.0001496027,0.001553495],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001608424,0.0001499163,0.0001597263,0.0008410518,0.0001259498,0.00006479384,0.0002376437,0.0004312549,0.0002801362],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00005337686,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000484563,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001908805,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001391939,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9975753,0.0002111957,0.0002951717,0.0005389257,0.0008998489,0.0004795105],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9982663,0.0001489537,0.00004270991,0.0007350019,0.000448748,0.0003582746],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000333945,0.001361105,0.9874182,0.0001637785,0.0004245342,0.000009695479,0.0003712391,0.00000302875,0.001506736,0.0001340088,0.00435046,0.00392322],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.003409739,0.0005048444,0.9189282,0.00014678,0.0001691418,0.000009668539,0.001121954,0.00002720644,0.001852616,0.0004650521,0.07322497,0.0001398486],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9265267,0.0623708,0.000230358,0.007904296,0.0005425966,0.0006184006,0.0001770448,0.00003973036,0.001590019],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9946862,0.001089691,0.001719022,0.0001432361,0.0002492403,0.00007527331,0.0002653659,0.00005014209,0.001721832],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.06887451,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9993593,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02333694083877785,"score_gpt":0.3357391708529252,"score_spread":0.3124022300141473,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}