{"id":"W3125978588","doi":"10.1017/sus.2021.3","title":"Collective foresight and intelligence for sustainability","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Global Sustainability","topic":"Climate Change Communication and Perception","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":48,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Future Earth","funders":"ClimateWorks Foundation","keywords":"Futures studies; Sustainability; Futures contract; Political science; Public relations; Business","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001231644,0.000103083,0.0001625047,0.00001841448,0.0009719534,0.0001247513,0.0001838757,0.0001249099,0.0002360935],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00807182,0.0001107379,0.00008542331,0.0005647714,0.0006219018,0.000166891,0.0001645469,0.0000794445,0.000001772761],"about_ca_system_candidate":true,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.005456767,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002927084,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001960898,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01312969,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983696,0.0005057119,0.0002111291,0.0003573019,0.0001762408,0.0003800304],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9962623,0.0004181936,0.00005443656,0.0003782146,0.002728524,0.000158382],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002315219,0.0003829135,0.1504596,0.0003939691,0.00002044101,0.000005319741,0.04465099,0.00001313679,0.000003548542,0.6125737,0.0009651855,0.1902997],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001404308,0.00004004831,0.04808665,0.00000407621,0.00001227984,0.000001248669,0.1215063,0.00009344723,0.00001573029,0.7435356,0.08643422,0.0001300284],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7689263,0.001782349,0.02993452,0.08642344,0.00046833,0.005132739,0.0002412163,0.0003631352,0.106728],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9970416,0.0002947018,0.0004584616,0.000204127,0.00006608468,0.0001525464,0.00002467681,0.000004233744,0.001753578],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2281154,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9983611,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2141788888627646,"score_gpt":0.4705095497061396,"score_spread":0.256330660843375,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}