{"id":"W3125981998","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.923381","title":"The Importance of Being Mature: the Effect of Demographic Maturation on Global Per-Capita Gdp","year":2006,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Economic Growth and Productivity","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":3,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"","keywords":"Per capita; Economics; Gross domestic product; Real gross domestic product; Demographic economics; Agricultural economics; Monetary economics; Business; Economic growth; Demography; Population","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001250168,0.0001719313,0.0003209644,0.0004132602,0.0004091101,0.001325794,0.0003217508,0.0006280249,0.006884022],"category_scores_gemma":[0.008113983,0.0001320239,0.0005370838,0.0008781466,0.0009027821,0.001195476,0.0011571,0.00153493,0.0005744261],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004252384,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0007316864,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01208378,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.013931,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996221,0.0001104063,0.00002339922,0.00005075964,0.00003136709,0.0001619821],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9897741,0.003383181,0.003145919,0.0002862935,0.0006800233,0.002730469],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0007094932,0.00009333101,0.9767585,0.00007375702,0.0001351806,0.0004976431,0.0005623968,0.003031561,0.0006620597,0.004272345,0.001165813,0.01203795],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001288497,0.0001286991,0.9952648,0.00001780294,0.00007438543,0.0001667922,0.0007126126,0.001028866,0.0002595363,0.001080149,0.001242958,0.00001064039],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9901334,0.0008908752,0.0001930635,0.001943845,0.00002657775,0.000006632201,0.0008628851,0.00001081247,0.005931999],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9988733,0.0002846581,0.00002681494,0.00004764341,0.00002827769,0.000001624626,0.0001923147,0.000003932108,0.0005415754],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01208378,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02402687,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.00396052821256679,"score_gpt":0.1873631567590397,"score_spread":0.1834026285464729,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}