{"id":"W3126220332","doi":"10.1186/s12889-021-10829-2","title":"Individually optimal choices can be collectively disastrous in COVID-19 disease control","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"BMC Public Health","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":22,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Fractal Systems (Canada)","funders":"Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation","keywords":"Public health; Pandemic; Medicine; Disease; Basic reproduction number; Psychological intervention; Population; Epidemiology; Biostatistics; Contagious disease; Environmental health; Herd immunity; Social distance; Transmission (telecommunications); Infectious disease (medical specialty); Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Psychiatry; Pathology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaresearch","metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003902318,0.0003261994,0.0009769456,0.0001811673,0.000461286,0.0001494931,0.0003893879,0.000118794,0.0001902491],"category_scores_gemma":[0.07972606,0.0002796898,0.0001718215,0.00093085,0.0001930066,0.0001748122,0.000306431,0.0003951281,0.00000794576],"about_ca_system_candidate":true,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002275241,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.01107669,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002802737,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02592595,"domain_scores_codex":[0.994522,0.002023338,0.0009585946,0.000780033,0.0005270775,0.001189007],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9877865,0.009435965,0.0004013609,0.0004970791,0.0001613402,0.001717746],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001648162,0.001321464,0.9231191,0.001118914,0.0001325002,0.0001295264,0.00326062,0.0004515447,0.00000242483,0.04098302,0.02781407,0.001502018],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.007199061,0.0003581163,0.8088143,0.0001097056,0.00004849603,0.00001555645,0.002767412,0.001653884,0.000001089423,0.02970564,0.148605,0.0007217134],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.4804598,0.002576245,0.0823777,0.4287237,0.0003059943,0.002663741,0.001440142,0.000611429,0.0008412823],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9336051,0.0001527277,0.01098037,0.05411113,0.000187429,0.0004452947,0.00006757408,0.00003902771,0.0004114013],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4531452,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999655,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2848688644107165,"score_gpt":0.4491986955649045,"score_spread":0.1643298311541881,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}