{"id":"W3127098747","doi":"10.3390/pathogens10020155","title":"Air Passenger Travel and International Surveillance Data Predict Spatiotemporal Variation in Measles Importations to the United States","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Pathogens","topic":"Virology and Viral Diseases","field":"Medicine","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto; BlueDot (Canada); St. Michael's Hospital","funders":"","keywords":"Measles; Statistics; Regression analysis; Measles vaccine; Inflow; Geography; Receiver operating characteristic; Econometrics; Mathematics; Vaccination; Meteorology; Medicine; Virology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002700325,0.0004827372,0.0003197052,0.001077786,0.0001637808,0.000848358,0.0002998049,0.0002954539,0.0005448255],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01160331,0.0002309876,0.000857024,0.001217614,0.0001636678,0.0006795226,0.0005904351,0.0006033441,0.0002166039],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004858292,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004538781,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.04370006,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03025734,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9991946,0.0003618979,0.00007500067,0.000189159,0.00009168038,0.0000876183],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9945394,0.002780897,0.001165555,0.0005161405,0.000807945,0.0001900057],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00007010229,0.00006212407,0.9626684,0.00001139991,0.0001649966,0.00003877169,0.00007680156,0.03163249,0.0002372087,0.0001030618,0.0004563638,0.004478228],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000009873045,0.00006628977,0.7023338,0.00002305807,0.00008625638,0.00005461576,0.0002582274,0.2958636,0.0004798294,0.000197843,0.0006110002,0.00001564656],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9977386,0.00006439567,0.0009566147,0.00007416719,0.000006769303,0.00000529385,0.0007404616,0.00004415252,0.000369541],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9972498,0.00005717843,0.0006340691,0.00001431698,0.000006498848,0.000005066311,0.001901311,0.000008799677,0.0001229355],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.04370006,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.08689141,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04447259514354585,"score_gpt":0.3109422656608772,"score_spread":0.2664696705173314,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}