{"id":"W3127255802","doi":"10.5840/cpsem201911","title":"Ascertaining the Certainty of Uncertainty","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"book-chapter","venue":"Semiotics","topic":"Complex Systems and Decision Making","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Certainty; Computer science; Epistemology; Philosophy","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.005006329,0.0004699668,0.001298322,0.0003972154,0.0002106777,0.0002592939,0.002390923,0.0006511969,0.002583694],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003383304,0.0002640806,0.0007490203,0.0002233334,0.0002832569,0.00006153961,0.0007961083,0.001018482,0.001441899],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001042861,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004139978,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00006301548,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001259367,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9930605,0.0001811271,0.002128383,0.0008262258,0.003417214,0.0003865098],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9843623,0.009641221,0.001873032,0.002871061,0.001129376,0.0001230112],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00003515954,0.000007260232,0.0001292122,0.00002388943,0.00008140957,0.00001175341,0.0004601069,0.009274732,0.00001371863,0.8178843,0.152512,0.01956647],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001718438,0.00005947461,0.00009024634,0.0002645854,0.00004053144,0.00001790582,0.0004012898,0.008881663,0.000003203238,0.2977602,0.6920279,0.0002811584],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.0002381566,0.001335047,0.002171231,0.0006665709,0.002355753,0.0005585581,0.0001135252,0.00004264972,0.9925185],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.2229095,0.00002451903,0.0002915534,0.0006702702,0.0004167103,0.00000123474,0.000006636162,0.00006570126,0.7756139],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":"other","teacher_disagreement_score":0.5395159,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999812,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1590420570732071,"score_gpt":0.3759680029485574,"score_spread":0.2169259458753502,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}