{"id":"W3128211124","doi":"10.3386/w28418","title":"COVID-19 and SMEs: A 2021 \"Time Bomb\"?","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":30,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Bank of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Business; 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); Virology; Medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaresearch","metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.006845583,0.000325248,0.001036841,0.001604986,0.0001844253,0.0003226047,0.0007984274,0.000657288,0.008320341],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01011668,0.0004315364,0.0002648394,0.0002856391,0.0004295505,0.0002766,0.001570039,0.001236012,0.0009484084],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003540776,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00493741,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004575348,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001657685,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9962898,0.0001665015,0.00130858,0.001339577,0.0002731197,0.0006224177],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9955991,0.002034595,0.000645692,0.0007443054,0.0003701519,0.0006061557],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001325307,0.0002641233,0.01956796,0.0013899,0.0007571196,0.0000321051,0.00174991,0.008036325,0.0001590927,0.8877979,0.07928405,0.0008289798],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001147333,0.00007182924,0.002563109,0.00009965287,0.000009054523,0.00001770609,0.0001326315,0.01231587,0.00006106098,0.9448727,0.03818471,0.0005242758],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.3046439,0.03314963,0.0008876438,0.05745728,0.00238576,0.003961034,0.004837835,0.0001330373,0.5925438],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9878721,0.002579919,0.000816212,0.001089182,0.0006320535,0.0001577462,0.0007518695,0.00007199358,0.006028946],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.6832281,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9998295,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.3605734367072757,"score_gpt":0.4831096506700674,"score_spread":0.1225362139627917,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}