{"id":"W3129194627","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-195879/v1","title":"Second-wave Dynamics of COVID-19: Impact of Behavioral Changes, Immunity Loss, New Strains, and Vaccination","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"Research Square","topic":"SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research","field":"Medicine","cited_by":7,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Concordia University","funders":"","keywords":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Vaccination; Immunity; Dynamics (music); Virology; 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); Medicine; Biology; Immunology; Immune system; Physics; Outbreak; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Disease; Internal medicine; Acoustics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007063901,0.000322893,0.0004974818,0.000373534,0.0002300244,0.001445244,0.0004686644,0.0009483845,0.01187349],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003373623,0.0001728555,0.0003908009,0.0003180423,0.0002725101,0.0009057425,0.0008121867,0.0009877373,0.001045826],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000743408,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005889146,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01001877,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.008871434,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997553,0.00004482137,0.000006037505,0.00004965907,0.00003505373,0.0001090249],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991695,0.0002716272,0.000172654,0.00006608957,0.0001266794,0.0001933509],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.004788673,0.001331658,0.6427383,0.0003620549,0.0006454493,0.001014825,0.00100914,0.1194745,0.03571161,0.060627,0.05006556,0.08223112],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001306931,0.0005800275,0.706138,0.00006445346,0.0001163158,0.0002803324,0.001746023,0.2600952,0.00284064,0.01913098,0.00879658,0.0000807101],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9884738,0.0003877116,0.002455656,0.002054851,0.00008535074,0.00001566699,0.001732998,0.00005260178,0.004741315],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9908749,0.0001935085,0.0002184391,0.0001489337,0.00003223899,0.00001432334,0.0009186805,0.00001891868,0.007580047],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01187349,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03972077,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1539678983920348,"score_gpt":0.4796246629261182,"score_spread":0.3256567645340833,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}